Here at 538, we think a big part of our jobs during election season is to explore and explain how much trust you should put ...

Polls taken before Election Day did pretty well. Pollsters got close to the mark in races for president and senate, which is ...

But our analysis shows that there are more reasons to be optimistic than pessimistic about the state of the polls in 2024. While we've seen a decline in the volume of polls, there are still plenty of ...

Kamala Harris inched ahead of Donald Trump by the narrowest of margins in both polling guru Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight’s ...

Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...

ABC News is projecting that Trump is expected to win Indiana’s 11 electoral votes. That is not a surprise. In previous ...

Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 — Election Day — millions more will join them.

Maine and Nebraska award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and a single electoral vote to the winner of each congressional district. (Maine has two congressional districts, and Nebraska has ...

Happy Election Day 2024! Who's winning the latest U.S. presidential election? Current polls and results on Election Day.

Will Donald Trump or Kamala Harris be the next president? Here is what polls, odds and historians say voters head to the ...