That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, ...

ToplineVice President Kamala Harris inched ahead of former President Donald Trump by the narrowest of margins in both polling ...

But our analysis shows that there are more reasons to be optimistic than pessimistic about the state of the polls in 2024.

Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 — Election Day — millions more will join them.

We're officially in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election, as poll after poll shows an incredibly tight race ...

ToplineThe swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is effectively tied, with ...

Get ready for Election Day 2024. Here's everything you need to knowStart the day smarter. Get all the news you need in your inbox each morning. Here's what you need to know. ...

On Wednesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the U.S. Senate ... Our Senate forecast model starts with our published average of polls in each race. Broadly speaking, we weight ...

States are voting on school choice and more in 2024. The economy ... New York Times/Siena College and YouGov/The Economist polls, less than 3 percent of adults said it was their most important ...

JUMP TO: PREDICTIONS l LATEST SWING STATE POLLS l ELECTION MAP Of the ... and founder of election analysis site ...

On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of ... thing to get right is the national environment. National polls of the generic congressional ballot — i.e., polls that ...